The financial markets are ever-changing, capturing the hearts of countless investors. While the global market is still digesting the news of the Federal Reserve slowing down interest rate cuts, the Hong Kong stock market surged against the trend on the 4th, a phenomenon that has inevitably sparked heated discussions: will the A-share market open with joy or shock after the holiday?
The Federal Reserve, as the "weathervane" of the global financial market, its every move affects the nerves of the global economy. In September, the Federal Reserve signaled a rate cut, like throwing a stone into a calm lake, causing ripples. The global market responded enthusiastically, as if seeing the dawn of economic recovery. While global investors were immersed in this expectation, a statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell poured cold water on people. During the National Day holiday, Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at once and will adjust flexibly according to economic data. This statement undoubtedly cast a shadow over the already uncertain global economy.
The impact of the Federal Reserve slowing down interest rate cuts on the global market is self-evident. The first to be affected are emerging markets, which often rely on external capital inflows. The slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate cuts may lead to capital flowing back to the United States, putting pressure on emerging markets. At the same time, the global trade situation remains tense, and geopolitical risks continue to rise. These factors all hinder the recovery of the global economy.
Faced with the complex international situation, the performance of China's A-share market before the National Day holiday was particularly eye-catching. Driven by policy benefits and market sentiment, the A-share market has experienced a strong upward trend, with major stock indexes reaching new highs in stages, and market turnover has also increased significantly, boosting investor confidence. This phenomenon contrasts sharply with the global market and has led many people to look forward to the trend of the A-share market after the holiday.
Advertisement
The Hong Kong stock market, as an important bridge connecting the mainland with the international market, has also attracted much attention. After experiencing fluctuations and adjustments, the Hong Kong stock market has shown strong resilience overall. Especially on October 4th, the Hong Kong stock market withstood pressure and surged against the trend, demonstrating the market's inherent vitality.The performance of the Hong Kong stock market is partly due to the continuous inflow of mainland capital, and on the other hand, it also reflects investors' confidence in the long-term development prospects of the Chinese economy. However, the Hong Kong stock market also faces some uncertain factors, such as the impact of the global trade situation and the uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Looking forward to the trend of A-shares after the holiday, there are two different views in the market, "red start" and "killing start". Optimists believe that with the support of multiple factors such as policy benefits, loose capital, and improved corporate profits, the A-share market is expected to continue the upward trend before the holiday and usher in a "red start". However, cautious investors believe that there are still many uncertain factors in the global market, and the A-share market also faces certain adjustment pressures, and the possibility of "killing start" cannot be ruled out.
Faced with different voices in the market, as an ordinary investor, "I" also experienced psychological fluctuations during the National Day holiday. The strong performance of the A-share market before the holiday made "me" look forward to the post-holiday market, and even wanted to increase investment at one point. The news that the Federal Reserve slowed down interest rate cuts made "me" start to hesitate. In the end, "I" decided to maintain a cautious and optimistic attitude, continue to pay attention to market dynamics, and adjust investment strategies according to the actual situation.
Whether A-shares will be "red start" or "killing start" after the holiday is still too early to conclude, but one thing that can be affirmed is that the long-term positive fundamentals of China's economy have not changed, and the A-share market also has long-term investment value.